Title: Annual Results 27th June 2007
1Annual Results27th June 2007
2Definitions
- Like-for-like refers to the comparison of
businesses and individual operating units that
have been part of the Group throughout the whole
of the most recent financial year and the
immediately preceding financial year. - Operating profit for a particular business unit
or division within the Group refers to profit
before net finance income/charges, taxation,
intangible asset expenses, exceptional items and
restructuring costs. - Operating margin for a particular business unit
or division within the Group means operating
profit as a percentage of revenue. - Exceptional items means items which individually
or, if of a similar type, in aggregate need to be
disclosed by virtue of their nature, size or
incidence in order to allow a proper
understanding of the underlying financial
performance of the Group.
3Robert SpeirsChairman
4Highlights
- Good underlying revenue growth in all core
divisions - 63 pence per ordinary share returned to
shareholders in May/June 2007 - Full year dividend of 4.1p, up 10.8
- Further strong growth in profit
- Adjusted earnings per ordinary share up 10.4
- Strong start to new South Western rail franchise
- New franchise wins East Midlands, Manchester
Metrolink
5Martin GriffithsFinance Director
6Financial summary
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Revenue continuing operations Operating margin
- continuing operations () Adjusted earnings per
ordinary share Basic earnings per ordinary
share Net funds/(debt) Dividend per ordinary
share
1,504.6m 9.8 11.7p 25.4p 186.4m 4.1p
1,343.9m 9.5 10.6p 10.7p (135.9)m 3.7p
12.0 0.3 10.4 137.4 n/a 10.8
excluding exceptional items and intangible
asset expenses UK GAAP
7Summary income statement
Year to 30 April 07 m
Year to 30 April 06 m
Change m
UK Bus operating profit like-for-like UK Bus
operating profit 2005/6 acquisitions North
America operating profit Rail operating
profit Share of joint ventures
profit Restructuring and group overheads Finance
income/(charges) (net) Tax Profit excluding
intangibles and exceptionals Intangibles and
exceptionals, net of tax Reported profit from
continuing operations
82.5 2.0 18.1 58.8 14.2 (14.3) 0.7 (37.8)
124.2 16.3 140.5
65.0 (1.9) 16.9 58.9 5.6 (11.5) (15.9) (25
.3) 91.8 (20.6) 71.2
17.5 3.9 1.2 (0.1) 8.6 (2.8) 16.6 (12.5)
32.4 36.9 69.3
8Development of UK Bus
- Operating profit increased
- and 267.8m collected from London sale!
Year to 30 April 07 m
Year to 30 April 06 m
Change m
Operating profit Like-for-like 2005/06
acquisitions London
82.5 2.0 5.2 89.7
65.0 (1.9) 23.6 86.7
17.5 3.9 (18.4) 3.0
9UK Bus (like-for-like)
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Revenue (m) Operating profit (m) Operating
margin Passenger journeys (m)
608.0 82.5 13.6 547.9
551.1 65.0 11.8 513.9
10.3 26.9 1.8 6.6
- Revenue and journeys benefiting from strong
marketing, competitive fares strategy,
concessionary travel schemes and continued fleet
investment - Continued underlying revenue and volume growth
- Some benefit in second half from more stable
crude oil prices - Pension scheme changes mitigated potential cost
increases in second half - Stable insurance claims costs
10UK Bus (2005/6 acquisitions)
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Revenue (m) Operating profit (m) Operating
margin
82.4 2.0 2.4
38.5 (1.9) (4.9)
114.0 n/a 7.3
- Margin improvement from integration of acquired
businesses - Further margin improvement expected
Partial year, 2007 represents full year
11North America
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Revenue (USm) Like-for-like revenue
(USm) Operating profit (USm) Operating margin
463.6 455.6 34.6 7.5
439.5 417.6 30.0 6.8
5.5 9.1 15.3 0.7
Adjusted to exclude revenue from businesses
sold or closed during the two years and to
include revenue from Canada on a constant
currency basis
- Further margin improvement from optimising asset
deployment - Double digit margin targeted by 30 April 2009
- Excellent response in the US to Megabus
- Launch of Splash Tours in New York
12North America revenue breakdown
Year to 30 April 2007 USm
Year to 30 April 2006 USm
Growth
- Scheduled service/line run/commuter
- Charter
- Sightseeing tour
- School bus contract
- Like-for-like revenue
- Closed operations and Canada fx
- Total
191.8 86.5 87.2 90.1 455.6 8.0 463.6
174.3 79.9 79.6 83.8 417.6 21.9 439.5
10.0 8.3 9.5 7.5 9.1 (63.5) 5.5
13Rail (wholly-owned)
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Revenue (m) Operating profit (m) Operating
margin Passenger miles (000s)
571.5 58.8 10.3 3,051.6
506.7 58.9 11.6 2,802.1
12.8 (0.2) (1.3) 8.9
- Strong start to new South Western franchise
- Challenging but deliverable revenue and cost
targets - Manchester Metrolink from July 2007
- East Midlands from November 2007
- Sheffield Supertram record passenger volumes
14Virgin Rail Group
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
- Revenue 49 share (m)
- West Coast
- CrossCountry
- Operating profit 49 share (m)
- Operating margin
- Dividends received (m)
- Passenger miles (000s)
412.5 271.5 141.0 12.4 3.0 31.1 4,156.1
357.4 231.9 125.5 5.3 1.5
Nil 3,742.3
15.4 17.1 12.4 134.0 1.5
n/a 11.1
- Good prospects for re-negotiated West Coast
franchise - Winning market share from airlines
- Further yield management
- Successful marketing campaigns
- Capacity increases in December 2007 December
2008
15Scottish Citylink/Megabus JV
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Revenue 35 share (m) Operating profit 35
share (m) Operating margin
8.5 1.3 15.3
3.8 0.1 2.6
123.7 1200.0 12.7
- JV has delivered enormous passenger benefits
- Better value-for-money
- More sensible co-ordination of routes,
timetables, etc. - More services
- Strong support from passengers, politicians and
other stakeholders - Concerning decision from Competition Commission
Partial year, 2007 represents full year
16Miscellaneous income statement items
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Intangible asset expenses (m) Group overheads
(m) Restructuring costs (m) Pre-tax exceptional
items (m)
(14.7) (11.1) (3.2) 169.6
(20.5) (10.0) (1.5) 17.4
28.3 (11.0) (113.3) 874.7
- Exceptional gains include sale of London Bus and
restructuring of main Group pension scheme - 4.3m further gain in second half from London Bus
completion accounts and tax finalisation - Further pension credit in second half of 6.1m
17Finance income/(charges) and credit ratios
Year to 30 April 07
Year to 30 April 06
Change
Net finance income/(charges) (m) EBITDA from
continuing operations and joint ventures excl
exceptional items (m) Year-end net funds/(debt)
(m) Net Debt/EBITDA - Net funds increased by
726m for Return of Value special
pension contributions
0.7 229.6 186.4 n/a 2.3
(15.9) 194.0 (135.9) 0.7 0.7
16.6 35.6 322.3 n/a 1.6
18Interest rate risk
m
30 April 2007 net funds Approximate return of
value (including costs) Special pension
contribution June 2007 Pro forma net debt
186.4 (696.0) (30.0) (539.6)
324.6m 60.2 Fixed Rate at 6.2 blended
215.0m 39.8 Floating Rate
Taking account of interest rate derivatives
19Taxation
2007
Pre-tax Profit m
Tax m
Rate
- Excluding intangible asset expenses and
exceptional items - - Before joint ventures
- - Joint ventures
- Intangible asset expenses
- Exceptional items
- Joint venture tax
- Reported in income statement
- Cash tax paid (net)
147.8 17.2 165.0 (14.7) 36.8 187.1 (3.0)
184.1
(37.8) (3.0) (40.8) 2.9 (8.7) (46.6) 3.
0 (43.6) 22.9
25.6 17.4 24.7 19.7 23.6 24.9 23.
7
Excludes London Bus
20Capital structure
- c.700m return of value completed
- Reflects robust business model
- Quantum determined with reference to credit
ratios, including Net Debt/EBITDA and Debt
Service Cover - Ordinary shares currently in issue 707.9m
- 2007/08 pro forma average Ordinary shares in
issue 724.3m
21Pensions
- 21.7m total pension costs (2006 33.4m)
- 18.1m (2006 27.1m) continuing operations
- IAS 19 pre-tax deficit of 36.2m (2006 222.2m)
for Group - c.107m of additional contributions to reduce
deficit - 77m paid by 30 April 2007
- 30m paid in June 2007 ? further deficit
reduction - Rail pension schemes under IFRS, only the part
of the deficit that we expect to fund during the
relevant franchise is recognised - Positive changes to schemes
excluding past service adjustment
22Movement in net debt
30 April 2007 m
EBITDA from Group companies before exceptionals
EBITDA from discontinued operations Dividends
from joint ventures Movement in retirement
benefit obligations Working capital and other
operating cash movements Net interest paid Tax
paid Net cash from operating activities Net
capital expenditure including new hire
purchase Acquisitions of businesses, intangibles
and investments Disposals of businesses and
investments Movement in loans to joint
ventures Token sales and redemptions Foreign
exchange/other Reduction in net debt before
cashflows with shareholders Equity
dividends Other share capital movements Reduction
in net debt Opening net debt Closing net funds
215.4 7.7 31.1 (94.9) 29.8 (3.9) (22.9) 1
62.3 (82.5) (2.2) 267.2 1.4 (2.3) 16.4 360.
3 (41.5) 3.5 322.3 (135.9) 186.4
23Capital expenditure
Capex on new hire purchase m
Impact of capex on net debt m
Disposal proceeds m
Net m
Cash spent on capex m
49.0 Nil Nil 49.0
68.1 21.4 4.0 93.5
(8.2) (2.8) Nil (11.0)
59.9 18.6 4.0 82.5
19.1 21.4 4.0 44.5
- UK Bus
- North America
- Rail
Excludes capitalised intangible assets of
13.3m (2006 0.6m) Excludes proceeds from
selling businesses Note Vehicles with a capital
value of 12.1m were acquired by UK Bus during
the year on operating leases (2006 Nil )
24Brian SouterChief Executive
25Five-year track record
Year ended 30 April
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
CAGR
Adjusted EPS Dividend per Ordinary Share Share
Price Return of value announced
6.4p 2.6p 44.0p -
6.7p 2.9p 82.25p 240m
9.5p 3.3p 103.0p -
10.6p 3.7p 108.5p -
11.7p 4.1p 186.75p 700m
16.3 12.1 43.5
dividends
Before intangible asset expenses and
exceptional items (2002 2004 UK GAAP 2005
2007 IFRS)
26The Stagecoach Differential UK Bus
- Revenue growth 10.3 (22.6 higher than average
market revenue growth of 8.4) - Underlying full fare passenger volume growth of
approximately 2.4 - Like-for-like operating profit up 26.9 from
65.0m to 82.5m - Lower than average weekly ticket prices
- increases financial flexibility
- underpins volume growth and long term prospects
- High fleet reliability
- Getting modal shift from innovation and marketing
Like-for-like Determined from most recently
rolling 12 months revenues available for UK Bus
divisions of major UK-listed Groups
27The Stagecoach Differential North America
- Sweating the assets units closed segment
profitability - revenue growth 9.1
- further margin improvement from 7.1 to 7.9
- Product developments
- Splash Tours
- megabus.com
- internet selling
- Targeting 10 margin on core business by April
2009
Like-for-like constant currency
28The Stagecoach Differential UK Rail
- Winning Franchises
- South Western
- East Midlands ? strong momentum
- Manchester Metrolink
- Revenue growth 12.9 (9.3 higher than the
London and South East TOC average of 11.8) - Passenger Performance Measure Punctuality
- South Western 90.3
- West Coast 87.2
- CrossCountry 84.3
- Passenger Satisfaction
- South Western 81
- West Coast 87
- CrossCountry 84
- London South East TOCs 89.3
- Long distance TOCs 85.2
- Industry 79
Industry passenger performance measure for
calendar year 2006 Year to 31 March
2007 Percentage of passengers satisfied
overall as determined by Spring 2007 National
Passenger Survey
29The Stagecoach Differential Addressing the
issues
- CAPITAL STRUCTURE
- Consistently generating surplus cash for
investment shareholder return - 940m returned to shareholders in three years
- Plus continued dividend growth
- PENSIONS
- Accelerating funding
- Securing employee pensions ? affordable
pension scheme - Managing cost and volatility
- INVESTMENT
- UK Bus Fleet
- Addressing the London issue
- Modern fleet for a modern business
30Current trading and outlook
- Strong start to new financial year
- Current trading in line with our expectations
- Continued focus on organic growth and bolt-on
acquisitions - Good potential for further growth
31Annual Results27th June 2007
32Appendices
33Finance income
Finance income/ (charges) m
Annual effective rate
Average balance m
(16.6) 20.6 4.0 (0.8) (0.5) (2.9) 0.3 1.2
1.3
5.0 4.8 4.2
(332.0) 428.0 96.0
Gross debt related derivatives Interest bearing
cash balances Non-utilisation/commitment
fees Insurance letters of credit Discount on
insurance provisions Interest on notes
receivable Other
Average of month end debt/cash balances
0.7m reported as net finance income in income
statement and 0.6m relating to London Bus
reported within profit from discontinued
operations
34Fuel hedging
Forecast 2007/08
Forecast 2008/09
Forecast 2009/10
- of Group fuel hedged - fixed
- - cap/floor
- Average hedge price (crude price US/barrel) -
fixed - - cap/floor
37 51 59 US59/US28
Nil 44 n/a US89/US58
Nil Nil n/a n/a
- Continuing Bus divisions use 1.6m barrels of fuel
a year - Each US10 per barrel movement in crude oil price
impacts variable fuel costs by approximately - US16m if no hedging in place
- 2006/07 year-on-year increase of 21m in fuel
costs of continuing operations
35Exchange rates
April 2006
April 2007
Closing rate
Average rate
Closing rate
Average rate
US NZ C
1.8176 2.4606 2.0368
1.7751 2.5641 2.1079
1.9999 n/a 2.2102
1.9103 n/a 2.1738
Average and closing rates up to date of
disposal used 29 November 2005
36Annual Results27th June 2007