Title: Climate change and chemical safety: the problem
1Climate change and chemical safety the problem
- Role of Engineering Toward a Better Environment
- Global Environmental changes challenges and
opportunities - 20-22 Dec 2008, Alexandria, Egypt
- H.A.M. de Kruijf
- PUM, Netherlands Senior Experts
- UNITAR, United Nations Institute for Training and
research
2ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
- This presentation is primarily based on the
brochure - MANAGING CHEMICALS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE TO
PROTECT HEALTH (April 2008), and the accompanying
presentation of IFCS, The Intergovernmental Forum
on Chemical Safety - author and contributors
- Katherine Shea
- Lilian Corra
- Jenny Pronczuk
- Marie-Noel Brune
- Photographs, unless otherwise indicated by the
author
3Climate change and Chemical safetyintroductory
remarks
- The threat of accelerating climate change may
significantly alter global and local development,
and thus may also change use, distribution and
degradation of chemicals in ways that could
affect human health and environment. - Little has been published up to now addressing
issues of climate change and chemical safety, in
short the possible risks associated with climate
change and chemicals.
4Climate change and Chemical safety introductory
remarks
- In the following presentations we explore
- How climate change may alter human and
environmental exposure to chemicals - Identify who may be particularly at risk of
adverse effects - Suggest actions that can be taken now to reduce
adverse impacts on human health and environment
(by chemicals) or better questions that should
be raised to identify those actions!
5Climate change and Chemical safety introductory
remarks
- Climate change is more than a warming trend
- Increasing temperatures will lead to changes in
many aspects of weather, such as winds patterns,
amount and type precipitation, type and frequency
of severe weather events - Global sea level could rise, causing damage to
coastal regions through flooding and erosion - Climate of various regions could change too
quickly for many plants and animal species to
adjust. - Harsh weather conditions , e.g. heat waves and
droughts, could also happen more often and more
severely
6Climate change and Chemical safety introductory
remarks
- Climate change could affect human health,
environmental health and well-being e.g. - Many larger cities could experience a significant
rise in the number of hot days - Air pollution problems would increase, placing
children, the elderly and people suffering from
respiratory problems at greatest risks of health
effects - Molds and pollens may increase causing
respiratory problems - The effects on human exposure will vary widely
according to the properties of specific chemicals
and chemical combinations
7Temperature changes
precipitation
floods
Erosion, run-off droughts
Model to calculate distribution of chemicals
towards an equilibrium Where does CC intervene,
have an impact? (adapted from EUSES)
8Climate change and Chemical safety
- Climate change may alter human chemical
exposure by changing how chemicals move and
transform in the environment - Some examples of how these interactions may
affect human exposures due to
Extreme precipitation, storms and floods threaten
water quality Drought threatens water
quality Increased temperatures
9Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may alter human chemical exposure by changing
how chemicals move and transform in the
environment
Examples
- Extreme precipitation, storms and floods threaten
water quality - By increasing urban and agricultural run-off of
petrochemicals, industrial chemicals, chemical
waste, pesticides and fertilizers into surface
waters or enhanced through-put of supersaturated
soil into groundwater flooding of warehouses and
old stockpiles of chemicals such as paints,
solvents, pesticides will lead to potentially
dangerous exposure situations
10Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may alter human chemical exposure by changing
how chemicals move and transform in the
environment
From internet
-
- Drought threatens water quality by concentration
of non-volatile chemicals and toxic metals in
drinking water resources. - When rain comes, parched and cracked soil may
permit rapid transit of chemicals into - deep groundwater stores.
Examples
11Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may alter human chemical exposure by changing
how chemicals move and transform in the
environment
Examples
- Increased temperatures
- will cause volatile chemicals to disperse more
quickly in the air and some chemicals will
degrade more quickly potentially creating local
hot spots of exposure. - Evaporation will be enhanced leaving non-volatile
chemicals to concentrate in water bodies. - Global movement of persistent chemicals will be
modified with changes in global water and air
currents, and thus population exposures will also
change.
12Climate change and Chemical safety
Effect of the effect of volatility on
transportation distance of POPs CC will
seriously and unpredictably change these patterns
Most volatile
Moderately volatile
Least volatile
Global movement of persistent chemicals will be
modified with changes in global water and air
currents, and thus population exposures will also
change.
13Climate change and Chemical safety
- Climate change may alter human chemical
exposure by changing where and how chemicals are
used -
- Chemicals can be critical tools in the global
response to climate change, but - when the world warms, chemical use patterns will
likely change in several sectors and affect human
exposure levels as well as environmental exposure
levels.
14Climate change and Chemical safety
- Climate change may alter human chemical
exposure by changing where and how chemicals are
used - Agricultural chemicals
- CC may require changes in crop choice and lead
to a perceived or actual - need to use more, different
- or new chemicals to combat
- pests
15Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may alter human chemical exposure by changing
where and how chemicals are used
- Example
- Agricultural chemicals
- Pesticides may lose effectiveness
- or be more rapidly broken down in
- warmer temperatures which could
- lead to more frequent use and more
- human and environmental exposure
16Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may alter human chemical exposure by changing
where and how chemicals are used
-
- Control of infectious disease
- Increases in vector-borne diseases anticipated
with climate change could stimulate more
widespread use of a variety of pesticides to
control insect, rodent and other disease vectors - Pharmaceutical use to treat these diseases is
also likely to increase and further threaten
water quality by stressing waste water treatment
and downstream drinking water resources.
17Climate change and Chemical safety
Example of increase in vector-borne disease and
geographical movement the case of bluetongue
The vector Culicoides sp. sucking blood
Bluetongue is a virus disease (reo viruses) among
cows, sheep, goats, etc transmitted by
Culicoides species. Since a few years, due to
warming of the climate the disease does now
occur above the 50th latitude. This means new
regimes for vaccination, eradication , and use
of chemicals
The virus computer model of bluetongue virus
From NRC Handelsblad, 01-12-2008
18Climate change and Chemical safety Climate
change may alter human chemical exposure by
changing where and how chemicals are used
-
- Alternative energy sources developed and
disseminated to stabilize the climate have the
potential to cause large changes in chemical use
patterns - for example, the change to
- bio-fuels and use of waste as
- fuels could results in new
- sources of chemical
- contamination on a large
- scale.
- (And there is the question of
- water versus energy!)
19Climate change and Chemical safety
- Climate change may make some chemicals more
dangerous -
- Ecosystem services some plant and animal
species are more vulnerable to heat-related harm
if they have prior exposure to various chemicals
or are more vulnerable to chemical - exposure when stressed by the
- changing climate.
-
20Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may make some chemicals more dangerous
- Climate Change may give a push to invasive
plants - Due to CC more invasive plants may be seen in
more temperate zones (and there are already
examples) -
- These invasive plants appear to be more
resistant to local plagues thus may more quickly
turn out to be a plague themselves! And thus may
well become a very serious threat to local
biodiversity and water resources. This may lead
to additional - use of pesticides causing risks for man and
- environment.
21Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may make some chemicals more dangerous
- Ecosystem services
- It is possible that the adverse impact of CC on
- the ecosystems that provide us with food,
- fiber and useful chemicals could
- be greater in a warmer global
- environment!
22Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may make some chemicals more dangerous
-
- Increased toxicity
- Increased ambient temperatures may have direct
impact on toxicity levels in exposed humans - Evidence from medicine (chemicals and fever),
drugs and temperature) - Impact on developmental toxicity
-
23Climate change and Chemical safetyClimate change
may make some chemicals more dangerous
- Well described increased toxicity of chemicals in
higher ambient temperatures under experimental
conditions
It is not clear that this relationship will
dominate in the complex world of multiple
stressors, but it does support the arguments to
minimize all chemical exposures as we seek to
meet the challenges of a warming world.
24Climate change and Chemical safetySome groups
are more vulnerableBecause of inherent
characteristics..
- Age and general health affect any
- individuals ability to withstand harm
- from a variety of chemical exposures.
- some groups at increased risks are
- Foetuses
- Children
- Elderly people
- Medical illness
25Climate change and Chemical safety Some groups
are more vulnerableBecause of inherent
characteristics..
Foetuses are susceptible to permanent harms from
even brief exposures in utero as might happen
after a water Contamination event such as a
flood, or a high dose exposure From pesticide
spraying
26Climate change and Chemical safety Some groups
are more vulnerableBecause of inherent
characteristics..
- High risk children
- In developing countries where water and food
scarcity cause wide spread malnutrition - Where CC will cause increased vector-borne
diseases (e.g. malaria) - Where agriculture will require high chemical
inputs - Where children working at jobs with potential
high exposures agriculture, rag - picking, recycling (batteries,
- waste etc)
27Climate change and Chemical safety Some groups
are more vulnerableBecause of inherent
characteristics..
- Elderly people may have lost the physical ability
to avoid exposure and/or the physiologic
capacity to withstand exposures that - may have been in younger
- years relatively non-toxic.
28Climate change and Chemical safetySome groups
are more vulnerable .because of
circumstances
- Poverty limits adaptive responses
- to both climate change and chemical
- exposures.
- Malnutrition, particularly in the very
- young, may compound and worsen
- effects from any toxic chemical
- exposure
29Climate change and Chemical safety
- Some groups are more vulnerable
- because of circumstances
- Geography is a major determinant of which
health threats from climate change are most
likely, and places entire populations at
increased risk. -
30Climate change and Chemical safety
- Example
- low lying coastal communities are more
susceptible to floods and storms which may be - complicated by chemical contamination of
drinking water, fields, food crops, and living
spaces
31Climate change and Chemical safety
- Some groups are more vulnerable
- ..because of circumstances
-
- Occupations that involve the use of chemicals,
such as agricultural work, may be increasingly
risky because of increased chemical use, - change in chemicals used
- and rapid development
- of new chemicals
-
32Climate change and Chemical safety
- Some groups are more vulnerable
- ..because of circumstances
- Public Health infrastructure, including the
health care systems, as well s chemical safety
laws, regulations, surveillance and enforcement,
are critical to minimizing injury and illness
related to CC and chemical exposures. - In those areas where these basic services are
lacking, whole populations are at increased risk.
33Climate change and Chemical safety
- THE FUTURE
- Lots of questions but answers????
34Climate change and chemical safety the future
- Role of Engineering Toward a Better Environment
- Global Environmental changes challenges and
opportunities - 20-22 Dec 2008, Alexandria, Egypt
- H.A.M. de Kruijf
- PUM, UNITAR
35Climate change and Chemical safety
- Starting statements
- We need all tools to respond to Climate Change
this includes existing and new chemicals as well
as non-chemical alternatives - Protecting human health and particularly the
health of those who are most vulnerable, must be
central part of all climate adaptive strategies
including chemical use and management - As climate change accelerates and we feel the
urgent need to both reduce emissions and respond
to public health threats, it is critical that we
do not loose sight of the need to strengthen and
improve systems to ensure chemical safety.
36Climate change and Chemical safety
QUESTIONS!!!! (1)
- When considering any climate-related problem, a
number of questions relevant to the use of an
additional chemical for any reason should be
answered - Will using a chemical solve this problem?
- What is known about the toxicity and exposure to
the most vulnerable humans? - What is known about the potential harm to
ecosystem services? - Are there non-chemical solutions for this
problem? - Are there multiple chemicals that could be used
to solve the problem?
37Ecological Risk Assessment
Discussion Between the Risk assessor And Risk
manager (Planning)
PROBLEM FORMULATION
Characterization of ecological effects
Characterization of exposure
Data Acquisition verification and monitoring
ANALYSIS
A systematic approach is necessary to study this
sort of problems, such the ecological
risk assessment system Suter, 2007
RISK CHARACTERIZATION
Discussion between the Risk assessor and Risk
Manager (Results)
UNESCO-IHE module on Aquatic toxicology
Risk Management
38Climate change and Chemical safety
QUESTIONS!!!! (2)
- Is there equivalent information on toxicity and
exposure for each alternative? - Which is least toxic?
- What are relative toxicities and efficacies of
the viable solutions? - What is unique about the location, geography,
topography, level of development, or population
characteristics which will affect movement and
breakdown of the chemical under consideration? - What are critical human exposures likely to be?
39Climate change and Chemical safety
QUESTIONS!!!! (3)
- Can chemical use be minimized or eliminated over
time through alternative management strategies? - Will use of this chemical create new or
persistent problems for human health or ecosystem
integrity? - Do we have adequate chemical safety and
management systems in place? - Will the changing climate increase or decrease
human exposure, or make this chemical more or
less effective or toxic over time?
40Climate change and Chemical safety
We can not say
or
41Climate change and Chemical safety
- What could be your role in the prevention of such
hazards? Develop, work on.. - Measures to decrease or lower the rate of climate
change! - Measures to adapt to the new and predicted
changes water resources management, waste
management, chemicals management (industry,
agriculture, pharmaceuticals) etc! - Measures to prevent negative health effects on
humans, on the environment! - Measures that develop innovative new
constructions where necessary ! - Techniques for a better balance between use of
limited water resources and energy production! -
42Climate change and Chemical safety
I Identify the problem
II Develop risk reduction goals
VI Implement and evaluate
To develop strategies to solve or at least try to
solve these Problems, one could use a so-called
Risk Reduction Strategy Model as developed and
applied by UNITAR
Involve interested and affected parties
III Identify and evaluate options
V Double check
IV Select risk reduction strategy
43Climate change and Chemical safety
- Although the relation between climate change and
chemical safety has received little attention,
developing ideas and working on these issues are
part of an international agreement Strategic
Approach to International Chemicals Management
(SAICM). - SAICM is a global policy framework to support
efforts to achieve the Johannesburg Plan of
Implementation goal that, by 2020, chemicals
should be produced and used in ways that lead to
the minimization of significant adverse effects
on human health and the environment. (and that
includes of course CC and chemical safety!)
44Climate change and Chemical safety
- The Dubai declaration on International Chemicals
Management and the accompanying Over Arching
Policy Strategy (Feb 2006) identify key elements
of chemical safety which will be increasingly
important within the context of global climate
change. - The declaration stresses the need to protect
vulnerable populations (including children and
unborn children), promote green chemistry, and
operate within a context of transparency,
partnership, and accountability among all sectors
of society. - In particular there is a call for public access
to appropriate information and knowledge on
chemicals throughout their life cycle, including
the risks that they pose to human health and the
environment. -
45Climate change and Chemical safety
- Risk reduction to minimize significant adverse
effects on human health and the environment is
the first strategic objective How? By pollution
prevention, precaution, life cycle analysis, and
promotion of environmentally sound and safer
chemical and non-chemical alternatives are all
enumerated as strategies. (using e.g. Life Cycle
Analysis, LCA) - Additional areas of action include optimization
of knowledge and information, governance,
capacity building and technical cooperation. - As work progresses to improve chemical management
from the local to the international level, the
changes in chemical risk associated with
accelerating global climate change must be
placed permanently on the agenda.
46RAW MATERIALS
LIFE CYCLE OF A CHEMICAL
Production
intermediates
non-isolated
SUBSTANCE 1
Processing on site
Life cycle of a chemical substance. Emissions
to the environment can occur at any point in
this cycle. Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess. 9 (1) 292,
2004
Isolation
isolated
Processing off site
Formulation
SUBSTANCE 2
Industrial use
Private use
Processing processing aid
Processing product
Processing in product
Processing processing aid
Use of product, articles
Use of product, articles
Recovery
Waste
47Climate change and Chemical safety
- In the past many chemicals have been used without
sufficient knowledge and consideration of the
cost to human health and ecosystem function. - Even now, capacities and capabilities of many
countries to protect their citizens from the
potential adverse effects of chemicals and
soundly manage the use of chemicals, are
inadequate facing the new and expanded problems
posed by climate change, these countries most
certainly will be additionally challenged.
48Climate change and Chemical safety
- Information and training will be needed to ensure
the sound management and use of newly developed
chemicals, or existing chemicals in new locations
and applications specifically under the new
uncertain circumstances (CC). - Targeted research and application of a
precautionary approach are essential to protect
human health and ecosystem integrity from harm as
we strive for a sustainable world especially
considering the challenges by the Climate Change
49Climate change and Chemical safety
- THANK YOU!!
- References can be found in the
- indicated brochure as well as on
- the website of IFCS
- www.ifcs.ch
The future
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